Development and Application of a
Regional Scale Integrated Meteorology-Atmospheric Chemistry Model
RESEARCH TEAM
Dr. Aijun Xiu
aijun@email.unc.edu
Dr. Rohit Mathur
rmathur@email.unc.edu
Dr. Carlie Coats
coats@emc.mcnc.org
Dr. Adel Hanna
ahanna@email.unc.edu
Ms. Uma Shankar
ushankar@email.unc.edu
Mr. John McHenry
mchenry@emc.mcnc.org
Environmental Modeling for Policy Development
Institute for the Environment
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Bank of America Plaza, CB#6116
137 E. Franklin Street
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-6116
BACKGROUND
Current Modeling
Approaches
Diagnostic approach
-
limited by spatial and temporal resolution of observational network
Prognostic approach
meteorological data stored for later use as input to drive separate chemistry/transport
model
-
data manipulation to conform to CTM requirements
One source of uncertainty derives from the fact that the meteorology, emissions
and chemistry are modeled separately and connected "off-line"
Due to limitations in computer I/O and storage, meteorological data are
output less frequently than internal time-steps
Temporal interpolation in CTM
-
In some cases leads to misleading results (e.g., change in wind directions)
-
May not capture evolution of key meteorological variables (e.g., PBL)
-
Physical inconsistencies (e.g., mass conservation if re-diagnosis of winds
is required)
-
Redundancies (e.g., secondary parameters related to PBL and cloud physics
are output partially and need to be rediagnosed)
Potentially important linkages between atmospheric chemistry and meteorology
are neglected, such as the radiative feedback of aerosols
Objectives
-
Develop and apply an air quality modeling
system with integrated meteorology, emissions, and chemistry which is:
-
internally consistent both numerically
and physically
-
computationally efficient
-
Reduce uncertainty, redundancy, and
inconsistency arising from separation of the three main interrelated components
(meteorology, emissions, chemistry)
-
Maintain flexibility and modularity
to facilitate incorporation of alternate/improved process and numerical
representations
-
Use the integrated model as a platform
to assess feedbacks between meteorology and chemistry - sensitivity
study
Approach
-
Incorporate various process representations
for tracer transport, chemistry, deposition, and emissions into a detailed
meteorological model
-
Development activities have largely
been based on further refinement and development of three existing models:
-
Meteorological Dynamics
Fifth-Generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale
Model (MM5)
-
Emissions Processing
Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE)
-
Chemistry/Transport/Deposition Multiscale
Air Quality SImulation Platform (MAQSIP)
-
Use MM5 as the base model for development
of the integrated model
MODEL COMPONENTS
MM5
-
Predicts variables that describe the
atmospheric thermodynamic and dynamic state and used to drive chemistry/transport/deposition
calculations
-
Features
-
Nonhydrostatic- fine-scale applications
-
Four dimensional data assimilation (FDDA)-
limits
model error growth
-
Terrain following coordinates
-
Grid Nesting- efficient utilization
of computational resources
-
System has been widely used as a driver
for atmospheric chemistry/transport models
-
System under continuous evaluation and
improvement through applications for a variety of problems over different
geographical domains
-
these can be readily incorporated
in the integrated model
SMOKE
-
Takes advantage of factor-based nature
of emissions processing operations to reorganize inventory into vectors
and to represent the fundamental operations as multiplication by sparse
matrices (Coats, 1996)
-
transforming inventory species
to model species
-
modeling temporal distribution
-
modeling spatial distributions
-
Reduces computational costs significantly
compared to other emissions processing system
-
Currently being used for emissions processing
over eastern United States and North Carolina airsheds
-
In present study, emissions were derived
off-line using SMOKE
MAQSIP
-
Chemistry/Transport/Deposition calculations
-
Gas/aerosol model (Binkowski and
Shankar,1995)
-
Can be configured to use same coordinate
system as MM5
-
Modular
-
preserve modularity in integrated model
-
Prototype for EPA's MODELS-3/CMAQ
-
Is applied to a varieties of problems
and regions
MCPL
-
A Meteorology CouPLing module that fits directly into MM5
-
Computes/writes MM5-native variables, derived variables needed by emissions
and air quality models, and pressure interpolated variables for analysis
and visualization.
-
Extremely easy insertion into MM5 source code
-
Callable at a variety of time scales from the MM5 advection-step frequency
on up
-
Is principally controlled by environmental variables and by ASCII tables:
what variables, what output windows, what time steps
-
Can be configured to write data either to memory-buffered virtual files
(for on-line integrated chemistry calculations), PVM-based commmunications
channels (for peer-to-peer coupling with other models), or to files on
disk (for off-line calculations)
Table 1. Components of the Integrated
Model
|
Feature
|
Physical/Numerical Representation
|
Reference
|
| Meteorological
Dynamical Calculations |
MM5 Version
2 |
Grell et
al. (1994) |
| Meteorology/
Chemistry Coupling |
MCPL |
Coats et
al. (1998) |
| Tracer
Transport and Chemistry |
|
|
| Gas-Phase
Chemistry |
Modified
CBM-IV or RADM2 Mechanism |
Gery et al.
(1989), Kasibhatla et al.(1997), Stockwell et al. (1990) |
| Chemistry
ODE Solver |
Modified
QSSA |
Mathur et
al. (1998) |
| Advection |
Bott's Scheme |
Bott (1993) |
| Turbulent
Mixing |
K-theory |
Chang et
al. (1987), Alapaty and Mathur (1998) |
| Dry Deposition |
Resistance
theory |
Wesley (1989) |
| Aerosol Dynamics |
Modal approach |
Binkowski
and Shankar (1995) |
| Clouds* |
Kuo or Kain-Fritsch |
Kuo (1974)
Kain and Fritsch (1990) |
| Emissions** |
Both anthropogenic
and biogenic emissions |
|
Figure 1. The schematic diagram of the integrated modeling system.
APPLICATIONS OF THE
INTEGRATED MODELING SYSTEM
Radiative Feedback
of Aerosols
-
The CCM2 radiation scheme in MM5 is
used for radiation calculation
-
The d-Eddington
approximation to calculate solar absorption
-
The solar spectrum is divided into 18
discrete spectral intervals
-
The d-Eddington
approximation allows for gaseous absorption by O3,CO2, O2, and H2O and
scattering and absorption of cloud water droplet
-
Optical properties of the cloud droplets
are represented in terms of liquid water path, effective radius, and fractional
cloud coverage
-
Include into MM5 the radiative forcing
of aerosols simulated by MAQSIP
-
Mie approximation is used to calculate
aerosol scattering and extinction efficiencies using effective radius and
refractive index
-
Optical properties of aerosols (single
scattering albedo, asymmetry parameter, and optical depth) are calculated
using extinction, scattering and absorption cross sections, and effective
radius and number concentration
-
Optical properties of aerosols are included
in the d-Eddington
approximation for shortwave radiation calculation
Case Study
with the integrated modeling system
-
Applied the integrated model to the
Eastern U.S. region with 36 km horizontal resolution (Fig. 1)
-
The episode covers five and half days
in the summer of 1995 - 00UTC July 10 - 00UTC July 15, 1995
-
MAQSIP is called at every MM5 time step,
that is 100 seconds for this case
-
The CCM2 radiation scheme with or without
aerosol feedback is performed every hour but can be done more frequently
-
The analysis focuses on the results
from the last three-day simulations which have less influence of the initial
chemistry conditions
Figure 2. The MM5 domain with the
course and fine grids (108 km and 36 km). The integrated model is run within
the fine grid domain.
Sensitivity
tests of the refractive index of aerosols
-
Refractive index is the particle optical
property relative to the atmosphere and is used in the Mie scattering calculations
for the radiative properties of aerosols
-
The refractive index is defined as a complex variable: R=Rr
+ iRi
The real part (Rr) and the imaginary part (Ri)
of the refractive index represent the scattering and absorbing components
respectively.
-
Sensitivity studies:
-
No radiative feedback of aerosols
-
With radiative feedback of aerosols and Rr = 1.5 and
Ri
= 0
-
With radiative feedback of aerosols and the real part of the refractive
index has the effect of aerosol water fraction (WFRAC):
Rr = 1.5 - 0.27 * WFRAC and Ri = 0
-
With radiative feedback of aerosols and both the real part and the imaginary
part of the refractive index has the effect of aerosol water fraction (WFRAC):
Rr = 1.5 - 0.27 * WFRAC and Ri = 0.01
- 0.01 * WFRAC
Figure 3 shows event-average distribution of fine particle mass simulated
by the integrated model at the lowest model level. Also shown in Figure
4 are comparisons of these simulations with IMPROVE observations. Taken
together these figures suggest that the model can reasonably well predict
the spatial distribution of the fine particle mass though the general trend
is toward a slight underprediction. These underpredictions could in part
ne due to the limited duration of the simulation (10 days). Figure 5 presents
qualitative relationships and comparison of simulated distribution of the
net radiative effects of aerosol loading with various aerosol loading parameters
(mass, size, and number). A comparison of spatial distribution of these
parameters indicate that the net reduction in shortwave radiation reaching
the surface is not only related to the aerosol mass loading, but is also
dependent on particle size and number density. Figure 6 attempts to elucidate
these relationships by presenting the same data in a more concise fashion.
In construction these figures, we binned the data based on predefined intervals
of the various aerosol-loading parameters and computed averages of each
parameters and the average reduction in shortwave radiation reaching the
surface for the corresponding grid-cells. Also shown in the figures are
the upper and lower values encountered within each bin. These plots further
illustrates that aerosol size parameters play an important role in dictating
the perturbation in radiation and regional feedback patterns.
Figure 3. The predicted event-average distribution of fine particle
mass at the lowest model level.
Figure 4. The scatter plot of predicted fine particle mass at the lowest
model level versus observations from the IMPROVE network.
Firgure 5. The simulated event-averaged shortwave radiation changes
with and without direct aerosol radiative feedbacks and three aerosol loading
parameters (mass, size, and number).
Figure 6. Simualted correlations between reduction in shortwave radiation
reaching the ground and aerosol loading parameters (mass, size, and number).
SUMMARY
-
Completed the integration of gas/aerosol
chemistry with meteorological dynamics and the inclusion of radiative feedback
of aerosols
-
The case study and sensitivity tests
show that the direct radiative effects of aerosols tends to cool the earth/atmosphere
system due to the scattering of shortwave radiation, as shown by previous
studies
-
The use of the integrated meteorology-chemistry
model simulates the effect of the aerosol feedback on the planetary boundary
layer (PBL) height which is generally reduced due to less surface heat
fluxes
-
The aerosol size parameters seem to
play an important role in forming the regional feedback pattern
ONGOING ACTIVITIES
-
Incorporate the latest version of the
MM5 modeling system, e.g., MM5 Version 3 into the integrated modeling system
-
Link the ozone concentration simulated
by MAQSIP with the MM5's CCM2 radiation calculation rather than using the
prescribed value
-
Introduce the aerosol effects on the
actinic fluxes and consequently the photolysis rate of various chemical
species
-
Further application of the integrated
model: regional climate research